The political future is knowable

We call the vote before it happens. And we publish the misses.

Every law that will govern you next year is already moving through a committee. Most will die, a few won't, and we tell you which — filed and timestamped before the chamber acts. 86% right across 30 predictions.

Simulation 0431 / NY State Senate Filed
Tested State licensing requirement for consumer crypto kiosks
Population 3,104 verified residents, districts 23 and 26
Constituent blocs
74%
Senate personas
58%
Prediction
Clears committee71%
Move first onRanking member, Banks
Window closesCrossover, Mar 1

Illustrative output. Every forecast returns whether it passes, who to talk to, and when to move.

What you're buying
political future units — one unit, one filed forecast

Blocks of 5, 25, or unlimited. A unit is spent when the forecast is filed, not when it turns out to be right.

86%Correct across 30 filed predictions
3,000+Verified residents, zero paid acquisition
36Local legislatures tracked, plus all 50 states
0Predictions written after the fact
What a forecast returns

Three answers, every time.

Does it pass

Staged by gate

A probability broken out by procedural gate, not a single number. Most bills die at a gate rather than a vote, so the forecast shows you where the risk actually is.

Who moves it

One name

The specific member whose position is most movable and most load-bearing. Lobbying spend is usually wasted on the wrong person, not on the wrong argument.

When to engage

A date, not a vibe

Legislative windows close hard. We give you the date the odds change and what they change to, so timing is a decision instead of a guess.

The model

Two populations, one system.

Most forecasting tools model the public and stop — but the public doesn't pass laws, legislators do. Everyone else rents a panel of strangers to answer a question they'd never otherwise be asked. We build both sides instead: verified residents who propose and react to real bills because they want something changed, and the officials who vote on them. Note which one has a name.

Constituent bloc · A2
Transit-dependent renters
District 26, Brooklyn
Residents1,240 verified
Stated on9 specific bills, not issue categories
Revealed by14 proposals authored, 96 cosigned
Never named. Blocs are the smallest unit that ever leaves the system. No individual resident, position, or record appears in an output.
Legislator · Ranking member
Chair, Committee on Banks
Elected 2018 · next exposed 2028
Record241 votes, 38 bills sponsored
LeverageControls committee calendar
ExposureWon last by 11 points
Always named. Every attribute here is already public record — how they voted, what they said, what they are exposed to next cycle.

The odds we sell ship back to those same residents, printed on the bill cards they vote on — the forecast is public to the people it lands on before it is ever sold. See the app that generates it →

The receipts

Anyone can predict the past.

A forecast written after the fact is a story. Every PollSee prediction is timestamped and locked before the legislature acts, then checked against the record. Across 30 predictions, 86 percent were correct. The misses are on the list too — a scoreboard you can only see the wins on is not a scoreboard.

PredictionFiledResult
Committee outcome, transportation Feb 04Correct
Floor vote before recess Mar 02Missed
Sponsor joins within 30 days Mar 11Correct
Bill dies in committee Apr 07Correct
Political future units

One unit. One filed forecast.

Foreknowledge is easier to buy when you can count it. A political future unit is one forecast, filed on one question, before the chamber acts on it. Buy a block, spend them across the session on whatever is actually moving.

Scoped
5 units

A single question

One bill you cannot afford to lose, with room to re-run it as the bill changes.

  • 5 filed forecasts, any covered chamber
  • Written deliverable per unit
  • Re-runs after amendment count as a unit
Standing
Unlimited

Everything that touches you

Every issue in your market, with scenarios run on request rather than one bill at a time.

  • Unmetered forecasts, named analyst
  • Scenarios and draft legislation on request
  • Coverage added for chambers you need

A unit is spent when a forecast is filed, not when it turns out to be right. That is the same standard we hold ourselves to publicly — see the receipts.

Get started

Bring us the vote you cannot afford to lose.

Tell us the bill, the chamber, or the market you are trying to enter. We will show you the forecast before you commit to anything.