The political future is knowable

We call the vote before it happens. And we publish the misses.

Every law that will govern you next year is already moving through a committee. Most will die, a few won't, and we tell you which — filed and timestamped before the chamber acts. 86% right across 30 predictions.

Simulation 0431 / NY State Senate Filed
Tested State licensing requirement for consumer crypto kiosks
Population 3,104 verified residents, districts 23 and 26
Constituent blocs
74%

Share of districts 23 & 26 residents whose position is on file

Senate personas
58%

Share of the 11 senators on this vote whose record is modeled

Prediction
Clears committee71%
Move first onRanking member, Banks
Window closesCrossover, Mar 1

Illustrative output. Every forecast returns whether it passes, who to talk to, and when to move.

What you're buying
political future units — one unit, one filed forecast

Blocks of 5, 25, or unlimited. A unit is spent when the forecast is filed, not when it turns out to be right.

86%Correct across 30 filed predictions
3,000+Verified residents, zero paid acquisition
36Local legislatures tracked, plus all 50 states
0Predictions written after the fact
What a forecast returns

Three answers, every time.

Does it pass

Staged by gate

A probability broken out by procedural gate, not a single number. Most bills die at a gate rather than a vote, so the forecast shows you where the risk actually is.

Who moves it

One name

The specific member whose position is most movable and most load-bearing. Lobbying spend is usually wasted on the wrong person, not on the wrong argument.

When to engage

A date, not a vibe

Legislative windows close hard. We give you the date the odds change and what they change to, so timing is a decision instead of a guess.

The receipts

Anyone can predict the past.

A forecast written after the fact is a story. Every PollSee prediction is timestamped and locked before the legislature acts, then checked against the record. Across 30 predictions, 86 percent were correct. The misses are on the list too — a scoreboard you can only see the wins on is not a scoreboard.

PredictionFiledResult
Committee outcome, transportation Feb 04Correct
Amendment survives markup Feb 19Correct
Floor vote before recess Mar 02Missed
Sponsor joins within 30 days Mar 11Correct
Bill dies in committee Apr 07Correct
How it gets used

One simulated electorate, run four ways.

Use 01

Forecasting

Does this bill clear committee this session, and which member decides it?
Which state do we enter first if we can only survive one regulatory regime?
Use 02

Campaign & message testing

Does this stump line land with union households in the district, or just the base?
Which cut of the ad moves undecided voters, and which one they scroll past?
Use 03

Electorate research

Who actually lives in this district now, and what are they asking for?
Where is the swing vote moving, and what's pulling it?
Use 04

Sensitivity check

Does this claim survive a fact-check, or a reporter's first call?
Which line in this mailer is the one that ends up in the opposition's ad?
Scope

What a simulation is not.

Being specific about the edges is how a forecast stays useful. These are ours.

It is not a poll

We model named districts where we have verified residents, not national opinion.

It is not lobbying

We never contact officials for you. What you do with the forecast is your call.

It is not a black box

Every output shows the population, the coverage, and the confidence behind it.

It is not individual data

Nothing leaves the system below district level. Ever.

Get started

Bring us the vote you cannot afford to lose.

Tell us the bill, the chamber, or the market you are trying to enter. We will show you the forecast before you commit to anything.